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 Afghanistan Center
 at Kabul University

Managing concurrent and repeated risks : explaining the reductions in opium production in central Helmand between 2008 and 2011 / David Mansfeld ; editing and layout Oliver Lough ; cover design Jay Lamey.

Mansfield, David.
Lamey Jay.
Lough Oliver.
ACKU
Kabul : Afghanistan Research and Evaluation Unit, 2011.
vi, 105 p. : col. ill., col. maps ; 29 cm.
Opium trade – Afghanistan.
Drug control – Afghanistan.
Opium trade – Economic aspects – Afghanistan.
Drug control – Economic aspects – Afghanistan.
Opium trade – Afghanistan – Helmand.
Pamphlet HV5816. / M36 2011
Library of Congress Classification / Monograph
26230 26231 26232 26229
“August 2011”—cover page.
“Includes bibliography”—(p. 103-105).
Contents: Acronyms—Glossary—Executive summary—1. Introduction—2. Methodology—3. Context—4. Risk, stress and sho9ck in central Helmand—5. Livelihood resilience and the sustainability of opium reductions—6. Conclusion—Annex—Bibliography.
Summary: “This paper seeks to explore what factors have driven recent reductions in poppy cultivation in Helmand and how sustainable they are. It finds that while household concerns about food security because of high wheat prices were key in driving down poppy cultivation between 2008 and 2009, the coercive power of the Afghan state and international military forces has been significant in determining levels of cultivation in central Helmand in 2010 and 2011. Sustainability of these effects will vary among different communities. Broadly speaking, this research suggests that reductions in poppy cultivation are…”—(p. 1).
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